Bundesliga
Elversberg vs
Leverkusen
Full timePitchOdds called 2 of 4
Elversberg 3–2 Leverkusen
✗Match result: we called Leverkusen win (48%)result: Elversberg win · we gave it 28%
✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (65%)result: 5 goals
✓Both teams to score: we called Yes (66%)result: both scored
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–1 (10%)result: 3–2
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
28%Home win
23%Draw
48%Away win
Leverkusen are narrow favourites (48%, under half) — Elversberg 28%, draw 23%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Elversberg 1.4 · Leverkusen 1.9
Over / Under 2.5
Over 65%Under 35%
Both teams to score
Yes 66%No 34%
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.