Bundesliga
M'gladbach vs
Elversberg
Full timePitchOdds called 2 of 4
M'gladbach 3–4 Elversberg
✗Match result: we called M'gladbach win (41%)result: Elversberg win · we gave it 37%
✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (73%)result: 7 goals
✓Both teams to score: we called Yes (73%)result: both scored
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–1 (9%)result: 3–4
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
41%Home win
23%Draw
37%Away win
Too close to call — M'gladbach 41%, draw 23%, Elversberg 37%. No side is clearly ahead, so we don't lean on a winner.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — M'gladbach 1.9 · Elversberg 1.8
Over / Under 2.5
Over 73%Under 27%
Both teams to score
Yes 73%No 27%
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.