Bundesliga
Union Berlin vs
Schalke
51%Home win
29%Draw
20%Away win
We lean Union Berlin (51%) — draw 29%, Schalke 20%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Union Berlin 1.4 · Schalke 0.8
Over / Under 2.5
Over 39%Under 61%
Both teams to score
Yes 43%No 57%
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.