Bundesliga
1. FC Köln vs
Bremen
49%Home win
24%Draw
27%Away win
1. FC Köln are narrow favourites (49%, under half) — draw 24%, Bremen 27%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — 1. FC Köln 1.9 · Bremen 1.3
Over / Under 2.5
Over 62%Under 38%
Both teams to score
Yes 63%No 37%
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
1. FC Köln 3–1 BremenApr 2026
Bremen 1–1 1. FC KölnNov 2025
1. FC Köln 0–1 BremenFeb 2024
Bremen 2–1 1. FC KölnSep 2023