Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs
HSV
70%Home win
17%Draw
13%Away win
We lean RB Leipzig (70%) — draw 17%, HSV 13%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — RB Leipzig 2.6 · HSV 1.1
Over / Under 2.5
Over 72%Under 28%
Both teams to score
Yes 62%No 38%
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
HSV 1–2 RB LeipzigMar 2026
RB Leipzig 2–1 HSVOct 2025