Bundesliga
Freiburg vs
M'gladbach
52%Home win
24%Draw
23%Away win
We lean Freiburg (52%) — draw 24%, M'gladbach 23%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Freiburg 1.8 · M'gladbach 1.2
Over / Under 2.5
Over 58%Under 42%
Both teams to score
Yes 59%No 41%
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Freiburg 2–1 M'gladbachFeb 2026
M'gladbach 0–0 FreiburgOct 2025
M'gladbach 1–2 FreiburgApr 2025
Freiburg 3–1 M'gladbachNov 2024
M'gladbach 0–3 FreiburgMar 2024
Freiburg 3–3 M'gladbachNov 2023