Schalke vs
Mainz

Mainz are narrow favourites (48%, under half) — Schalke 25%, draw 28%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Schalke 1.0 · Mainz 1.5

Reading these together: each call is the more likely side of its ownmarket — they aren't one combined prediction. A winner, both teams scoring andunder 2.5 can't all land at once (the smallest winning both-score line is 2–1 — three goals). For the single most likely outcomes, see the scorelines tab.