Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs
Dortmund
42%Home win
23%Draw
35%Away win
RB Leipzig are narrow favourites (42%, under half) — draw 23%, Dortmund 35%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — RB Leipzig 1.9 · Dortmund 1.7
Over / Under 2.5
Over 69%Under 31%
Both teams to score
Yes 70%No 30%
RB Leipzig 2–2 DortmundFeb 2026
Dortmund 1–1 RB LeipzigOct 2025
RB Leipzig 2–0 DortmundMar 2025
Dortmund 2–1 RB LeipzigNov 2024
RB Leipzig 4–1 DortmundApr 2024
Dortmund 2–3 RB LeipzigDec 2023