Bundesliga
We lean Dortmund (56%) — HSV 21%, draw 23%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — HSV 1.2 · Dortmund 2.0
Over / Under 2.5
Over 62%Under 38%
Both teams to score
Yes 61%No 39%
Dortmund 2–0 HSVAug 2026
Dortmund 3–2 HSVMar 2026
HSV 1–1 DortmundNov 2025