Bundesliga
Mainz vs
HSV
65%Home win
20%Draw
15%Away win
We lean Mainz (65%) — draw 20%, HSV 15%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Mainz 2.3 · HSV 1.1
Over / Under 2.5
Over 66%Under 34%
Both teams to score
Yes 60%No 40%
HSV 0–5 MainzSep 2026
Mainz 1–1 HSVFeb 2026
HSV 4–0 MainzOct 2025