Primeira Liga
We lean Porto (78%) — draw 16%, Alverca 7%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Porto 2.3 · Alverca 0.5
Over / Under 2.5
Over 52%Under 48%
Both teams to score
Yes 36%No 64%
Porto 1–0 AlvercaMay 2026
Alverca 0–3 PortoDec 2025