Primeira Liga
Famalicão vs
Marítimo
Full timePitchOdds called 0 of 4
Famalicão 1–2 Marítimo
✗Match result: we called Famalicão win (53%)result: Marítimo win · we gave it 20%
✗Over/Under 2.5: we called Under (64%)result: 3 goals · we gave it 36%
✗Both teams to score: we called No (61%)result: both scored · we gave it 39%
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–0 (17%)result: 1–2
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
53%Home win
27%Draw
20%Away win
We lean Famalicão (53%) — draw 27%, Marítimo 20%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Famalicão 1.4 · Marítimo 0.7
Over / Under 2.5
Over 36%Under 64%
Both teams to score
Yes 39%No 61%
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.