Primeira Liga
Santa Clara vs
Famalicão
Full timePitchOdds called 2 of 4
Santa Clara 1–0 Famalicão
✗Match result: we called Famalicão win (34%)result: Santa Clara win · we gave it 33%
✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Under (74%)result: 1 goal
✓Both teams to score: we called No (66%)result: they did not
✗Top scoreline: we called 0–0 (17%)result: 1–0
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
33%Home win
33%Draw
34%Away win
Too close to call — Santa Clara 33%, draw 33%, Famalicão 34%. No side is clearly ahead, so we don't lean on a winner.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Santa Clara 0.9 · Famalicão 0.9
Over / Under 2.5
Over 26%Under 74%
Both teams to score
Yes 34%No 66%
Early season.Only a round or two of results exist — last season's form carries the numbers while transfers, promotions and tactical resets aren't fully priced yet. This is the model's widest-miss window; calibration tightens as new results feed the daily refit. As ever: statistics, not betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Santa Clara 0–1 FamalicãoJan 2026
Famalicão 3–0 Santa ClaraAug 2025
Santa Clara 2–1 FamalicãoMay 2025
Famalicão 1–2 Santa ClaraDec 2024