Primeira Liga

Alverca vs
Santa Clara

Full timePitchOdds called 1 of 4

Alverca 1–1 Santa Clara

✗Match result: we called Santa Clara win (38%)result: Draw · we gave it 30%

✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Under (68%)result: 2 goals

✗Both teams to score: we called No (61%)result: both scored · we gave it 39%

✗Top scoreline: we called 0–1 (15%)result: 1–1

Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.

33%Home win

30%Draw

38%Away win

Too close to call — Alverca 33%, draw 30%, Santa Clara 38%. No side is clearly ahead, so we don't lean on a winner.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Alverca 1.0 · Santa Clara 1.0

Over / Under 2.5

Over 32%Under 68%

Both teams to score

Yes 39%No 61%

Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →

Alverca 1–1 Santa ClaraFeb 2026

Santa Clara 2–1 AlvercaSep 2025