Primeira Liga
Rio Ave vs
Sporting CP
Full timePitchOdds called 3 of 4
Rio Ave 0–4 Sporting CP
✓Match result: we called Sporting CP win (77%)result: Sporting CP win
✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (66%)result: 4 goals
✓Both teams to score: we called No (50%)result: they did not
✗Top scoreline: we called 0–2 (11%)result: 0–4
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
9%Home win
14%Draw
77%Away win
We lean Sporting CP (77%) — Rio Ave 9%, draw 14%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Rio Ave 0.8 · Sporting CP 2.6
Over / Under 2.5
Over 66%Under 34%
Both teams to score
Yes 50%No 50%
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Rio Ave 1–4 Sporting CPMay 2026
Sporting CP 4–0 Rio AveDec 2025
Rio Ave 0–3 Sporting CPJan 2025
Sporting CP 3–1 Rio AveAug 2024
Rio Ave 3–3 Sporting CPFeb 2024
Sporting CP 2–0 Rio AveSep 2023