Primeira Liga
Full timePitchOdds called 0 of 4
✗Match result: we called Estoril Praia win (46%)result: Draw · we gave it 21%
✗Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (67%)result: 0 goals · we gave it 33%
✗Both teams to score: we called Yes (67%)result: they did not · we gave it 33%
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–1 (9%)result: 0–0
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
Estoril Praia are narrow favourites (46%, under half) — draw 21%, Arouca 33%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Estoril Praia 1.9 · Arouca 1.6
Over / Under 2.5
Over 67%Under 33%
Both teams to score
Yes 67%No 33%
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Arouca 3–2 Estoril PraiaApr 2026
Estoril Praia 4–3 AroucaNov 2025
Arouca 1–1 Estoril PraiaMar 2025
Estoril Praia 4–1 AroucaOct 2024
Estoril Praia 1–2 AroucaJan 2024
Arouca 4–3 Estoril PraiaAug 2023