Primeira Liga

Sporting CP vs
CD Nacional

Full timePitchOdds called 3 of 4

Sporting CP 2–0 CD Nacional

✓Match result: we called Sporting CP win (84%)result: Sporting CP win

✗Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (70%)result: 2 goals · we gave it 30%

✓Both teams to score: we called No (55%)result: they did not

✓Top scoreline: we called 2–0 (12%)result: 2–0

Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.

84%Home win

11%Draw

6%Away win

We lean Sporting CP (84%) — draw 11%, CD Nacional 6%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Sporting CP 3.0 · CD Nacional 0.7

Over / Under 2.5

Over 70%Under 30%

Both teams to score

Yes 45%No 55%

Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →

Sporting CP 2–1 CD NacionalFeb 2026

CD Nacional 1–4 Sporting CPAug 2025

Sporting CP 2–0 CD NacionalJan 2025

CD Nacional 1–6 Sporting CPAug 2024