Primeira Liga
Porto vs
Moreirense
Full timePitchOdds called 1 of 4
Porto 2–1 Moreirense
✓Match result: we called Porto win (76%)result: Porto win
✗Over/Under 2.5: we called Under (51%)result: 3 goals · we gave it 49%
✗Both teams to score: we called No (66%)result: both scored · we gave it 34%
✗Top scoreline: we called 2–0 (16%)result: 2–1
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
76%Home win
16%Draw
8%Away win
We lean Porto (76%) — draw 16%, Moreirense 8%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Porto 2.2 · Moreirense 0.5
Over / Under 2.5
Over 49%Under 51%
Both teams to score
Yes 34%No 66%
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Porto 3–0 MoreirenseMar 2026
Moreirense 1–2 PortoOct 2025
Porto 3–1 MoreirenseMay 2025
Moreirense 0–3 PortoDec 2024
Porto 5–0 MoreirenseJan 2024
Moreirense 1–2 PortoAug 2023