Primeira Liga
We lean SL Benfica (84%) — draw 11%, Alverca 5%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — SL Benfica 2.9 · Alverca 0.6
Over / Under 2.5
Over 68%Under 32%
Both teams to score
Yes 42%No 58%
SL Benfica 2–1 AlvercaFeb 2026
Alverca 1–2 SL BenficaAug 2025