Primeira Liga
Alverca vs
Moreirense
40%Home win
27%Draw
33%Away win
Alverca are narrow favourites (40%, under half) — draw 27%, Moreirense 33%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Alverca 1.3 · Moreirense 1.1
Over / Under 2.5
Over 43%Under 57%
Both teams to score
Yes 48%No 52%
Alverca 2–1 MoreirenseJan 2026
Moreirense 2–1 AlvercaAug 2025