Primeira Liga
We lean Porto (64%) — Arouca 15%, draw 21%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Arouca 0.8 · Porto 1.9
Over / Under 2.5
Over 50%Under 50%
Both teams to score
Yes 46%No 54%
Porto 2–0 AroucaAug 2026
Porto 3–1 AroucaFeb 2026
Arouca 0–4 PortoSep 2025
Arouca 0–2 PortoMar 2025
Porto 4–0 AroucaSep 2024
Arouca 3–2 PortoFeb 2024