UEFA Champions Leaguelow confidence
Arsenal vs
Real Madrid
66%Home win
18%Draw
16%Away win
We lean Arsenal (66%) — draw 18%, Real Madrid 16%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Arsenal 2.2 · Real Madrid 1.0
Over / Under 2.5
Over 62%Under 38%
Both teams to score
Yes 56%No 44%
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
Real Madrid 1–2 ArsenalApr 2025
Arsenal 3–0 Real MadridApr 2025