We lean Dortmund (65%) — draw 18%, PAE AEK 17%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Dortmund 2.3 · PAE AEK 1.1
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.