We lean Fenerbahçe (70%) — draw 16%, Villarreal 13%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Fenerbahçe 2.4 · Villarreal 0.9
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.