UEFA Champions Leaguelow confidence
Club Brugge vs
Aston Villa
Full timePitchOdds called 3 of 4
Club Brugge 2–3 Aston Villa
✓Match result: we called Aston Villa win (50%)result: Aston Villa win
✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (65%)result: 5 goals
✓Both teams to score: we called Yes (64%)result: both scored
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–2 (9%)result: 2–3
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
29%Home win
21%Draw
50%Away win
Aston Villa are narrow favourites (50%, under half) — Club Brugge 29%, draw 21%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Club Brugge 1.4 · Aston Villa 1.9
Over / Under 2.5
Over 65%Under 35%
Both teams to score
Yes 64%No 36%
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
Aston Villa 3–0 Club BruggeMar 2025
Club Brugge 1–3 Aston VillaMar 2025
Club Brugge 1–0 Aston VillaNov 2024