UEFA Champions Leaguelow confidence
Porto vs
Man City
Full timePitchOdds called 0 of 4
Porto 0–2 Man City
✗Match result: we called Porto win (40%)result: Man City win · we gave it 39%
✗Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (71%)result: 2 goals · we gave it 29%
✗Both teams to score: we called Yes (70%)result: they did not · we gave it 30%
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–1 (8%)result: 0–2
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
40%Home win
21%Draw
39%Away win
Too close to call — Porto 40%, draw 21%, Man City 39%. No side is clearly ahead, so we don't lean on a winner.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Porto 1.8 · Man City 1.8
Over / Under 2.5
Over 71%Under 29%
Both teams to score
Yes 70%No 30%
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.