Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
We lean Lille (62%) — draw 19%, Real Betis 19%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Lille 2.3 · Real Betis 1.2
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.