UEFA Champions Leaguelow confidence
Napoli vs
Arsenal
Full timePitchOdds called 2 of 4
Napoli 0–1 Arsenal
✓Match result: we called Arsenal win (78%)result: Arsenal win
✗Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (54%)result: 1 goal · we gave it 46%
✓Both teams to score: we called No (63%)result: they did not
✗Top scoreline: we called 0–2 (15%)result: 0–1
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
7%Home win
15%Draw
78%Away win
We lean Arsenal (78%) — Napoli 7%, draw 15%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Napoli 0.5 · Arsenal 2.3
Over / Under 2.5
Over 54%Under 46%
Both teams to score
Yes 37%No 63%
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.