UEFA Champions Leaguelow confidence
Sporting CP vs
Galatasaray
Full timePitchOdds called 3 of 4
Sporting CP 3–1 Galatasaray
✓Match result: we called Sporting CP win (62%)result: Sporting CP win
✓Over/Under 2.5: we called Over (57%)result: 4 goals
✓Both teams to score: we called Yes (53%)result: both scored
✗Top scoreline: we called 1–0 (11%)result: 3–1
Pre-match numbers, judged against the final score — misses included. Every scored call joins the public record.
62%Home win
20%Draw
18%Away win
We lean Sporting CP (62%) — draw 20%, Galatasaray 18%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Sporting CP 2.0 · Galatasaray 1.0
Over / Under 2.5
Over 57%Under 43%
Both teams to score
Yes 53%No 47%
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.