UEFA Champions Leaguelow confidence
PSV vs
Shaktar
68%Home win
16%Draw
16%Away win
We lean PSV (68%) — draw 16%, Shaktar 16%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — PSV 2.7 · Shaktar 1.3
Over / Under 2.5
Over 76%Under 24%
Both teams to score
Yes 67%No 33%
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
PSV 3–2 ShaktarNov 2024