We lean Bayern (76%) — draw 12%, Bodø/Glimt 12%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Bayern 3.3 · Bodø/Glimt 1.3
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
Model vs Market — see where our probabilities differ from the de-vigged market read. Go Pro →
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.