We lean Atleti (78%) — draw 11%, Man United 10%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Atleti 3.4 · Man United 1.3
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.