We lean Arsenal (79%) — draw 13%, Lille 8%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Arsenal 2.7 · Lille 0.7
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.