Villarreal vs
Napoli

Napoli are narrow favourites (44%, under half) — Villarreal 31%, draw 25%.

Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Villarreal 1.2 · Napoli 1.4

Reading these together: each call is the more likely side of its ownmarket — they aren't one combined prediction. A winner, both teams scoring andunder 2.5 can't all land at once (the smallest winning both-score line is 2–1 — three goals). For the single most likely outcomes, see the scorelines tab.

Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.