UEFA Champions Leaguelow confidence
Roma vs
Real Madrid
21%Home win
17%Draw
61%Away win
We lean Real Madrid (61%) — Roma 21%, draw 17%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Roma 1.5 · Real Madrid 2.5
Over / Under 2.5
Over 76%Under 24%
Both teams to score
Yes 70%No 30%
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.