UEFA Champions Leaguelow confidence
Man City vs
PSG
22%Home win
18%Draw
60%Away win
We lean PSG (60%) — Man City 22%, draw 18%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Man City 1.4 · PSG 2.5
Over / Under 2.5
Over 74%Under 26%
Both teams to score
Yes 69%No 31%
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
PSG 4–2 Man CityJan 2025