UEFA Champions Leaguelow confidence
Liverpool vs
Villarreal
88%Home win
9%Draw
4%Away win
We lean Liverpool (88%) — draw 9%, Villarreal 4%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Liverpool 3.1 · Villarreal 0.5
Over / Under 2.5
Over 69%Under 31%
Both teams to score
Yes 37%No 63%
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.