Too close to call — Bayern 36%, draw 24%, Arsenal 40%. No side is clearly ahead, so we don't lean on a winner.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Bayern 1.4 · Arsenal 1.5
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.