We lean Real Madrid (64%) — PAE AEK 19%, draw 17%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — PAE AEK 1.3 · Real Madrid 2.5
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.