UEFA Champions Leaguelow confidence
Barça vs
Man City
60%Home win
17%Draw
23%Away win
We lean Barça (60%) — draw 17%, Man City 23%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Barça 2.6 · Man City 1.6
Over / Under 2.5
Over 78%Under 22%
Both teams to score
Yes 73%No 27%
Low confidence.This is a tournament at a neutral venue with only a few matches per team — the model's least-certain regime. Treat these as rough, informational probabilities, not tips or betting advice.
No previous meetings on record in the data we hold.