Campeonato Brasileiro Série A
Grêmio vs
São Paulo
43%Home win
27%Draw
29%Away win
Grêmio are narrow favourites (43%, under half) — draw 27%, São Paulo 29%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Grêmio 1.3 · São Paulo 1.0
Over / Under 2.5
Over 42%Under 58%
Both teams to score
Yes 47%No 53%
São Paulo 2–0 GrêmioFeb 2026
Grêmio 2–0 São PauloOct 2025
São Paulo 2–1 GrêmioMay 2025
Grêmio 2–1 São PauloDec 2024
São Paulo 1–0 GrêmioJul 2024