Primeira Liga
We lean Porto (68%) — Alverca 11%, draw 20%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Alverca 0.6 · Porto 1.9
Over / Under 2.5
Over 46%Under 54%
Both teams to score
Yes 38%No 62%
Porto 2–0 AlvercaAug 2026
Porto 1–0 AlvercaMay 2026
Alverca 0–3 PortoDec 2025