Primeira Liga
We lean Sporting CP (77%) — Alverca 9%, draw 14%.
Expected goals (the model's scoring rates this fixture is built on) — Alverca 0.8 · Sporting CP 2.6
Over / Under 2.5
Over 66%Under 34%
Both teams to score
Yes 49%No 51%
Sporting CP 3–1 AlvercaAug 2026
Alverca 1–4 Sporting CPMar 2026
Sporting CP 2–0 AlvercaOct 2025